We've covered a lot of individual pieces this month, reserves, forecasting, pricing, scenario planning. This post pulls them together into one straightforward checklist you can actually work through before the slow season arrives.
Start with your books being current and reconciled. Every recommendation that follows depends on accurate numbers, and none of it works if your P&L and bank accounts haven't been reconciled in a few months. This is the foundation everything else sits on.
Next, know your actual cash reserve against your target. If you haven't calculated one to three months of fixed operating expenses and compared it to what you've actually got set aside, that's the first gap to close while cash is still coming in steadily.
Build or update your 90-day cash flow forecast, and specifically model what November and December look like based on last year's actual numbers, not optimistic guessing. If the forecast shows a cash crunch coming, you want that information now, while you still have options.
Review pricing for the year ahead, using this season's real job costing data rather than last year's numbers adjusted by a rough percentage. If margins have been sliding, this is the moment to correct it before another season locks in the same rates.
Check your Q3 estimated tax payment is handled and start thinking ahead to Q4, so tax obligations aren't competing with a tight cash month for the same dollars.
Look at any planned equipment purchases or financing decisions through the lens of the slow season ahead. A truck or tool purchase that made sense in July might be worth delaying until spring if cash is going to be tight in the meantime.
Finally, revisit staffing. If call volume typically drops significantly in winter, decide now how you'll handle that, whether it's adjusting hours, cross-training techs for different work, or planning ahead rather than reacting once the calls slow down.
Working through this list in September, while there's still time to act on what it shows you, is the difference between a slow season you manage and one that manages you.
Jeremy Brewer is the founder of 911 Bookkeepers LLC in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. He worked in the field as an HVAC tech before building books for the trades, and he serves as a licensed paramedic in EMS. He is a Xero Certified Advisor.
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